Study Fig. 5.1, a population pyramid for Pakistan in 2014. [Figure 5.1] Complete the graph using the information below: Females Age 20-24 10 million
- (a)(i)Study Fig. 5.1, a population pyramid for Pakistan in 2014. [Figure 5.1] Complete the graph using the information below: Females Age 20-24 10 million[1]
- (a)(ii)Using Fig. 5.1 describe the population structure of Pakistan.[3]
- (b)(i)Define the term 'birth rate'.[2]
- (b)(ii)Study Fig. 5.2 showing selected population information about Pakistan. [Figure 5.2 - Table Data] Total population 187 million Urban population 70.87 million Rural population 116.13 million Population growth rate 2.0% per annum Total fertility rate 3.3 per thousand Birth rate 26.8 per thousand Death rate 7.0 per thousand Using data from Fig. 5.2 calculate the natural population increase for Pakistan. Show your working in the box below.[2]
- (b)(iii)From the list below tick three correct reasons for overpopulation: Too many people Use of contraception Not enough resources e.g. food, shelter, water Immigration Poor infrastructure Lack of government finance Rapid population growth Tick (✔)[3]
- (c)(i)Give two benefits and two problems to a family of having a small number of children. benefits problems[4]
- (c)(ii)Explain how and why the death rate in Pakistan is changing. You should develop your answer.[4]
- (d)Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition Model shows low birth and death rates with steady population growth for Pakistan between 2014 and 2040. To what extent will low birth and death rates have a positive impact on the future development of Pakistan? Give reasons to support your judgement and refer to examples you have studied. You should consider different points of view in your answer.[6]
This question uses a diagram from the original paper, which isn't shown here. Open the full paper from the past papers archive to see it.
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2018). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] Accurate completion of population pyramid graph.
- [1] Large number of young dependents 0–19;
- [1] Small proportion of elderly dependents 60+;
- [1] Gradual decline through the older age groups / economically active decline 20+;
- [1] Economically active are the biggest sector;
- [1] More females in older age groups / less males in older age groups;
- [1] More males in young dependents.
- [1] Birth rate - the number of babies' births / born per 000 of the population per year.
- [1] Natural Increase = birth rate - death rate
- [1] 26.80 -7.00 = 19.8 (per thousand)
- [1] Too many people;
- [1] Not enough resources, e.g. food / shelter / water;
- [1] Rapid population growth.
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: Have more food to go around;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: More disposable income / less outgoings;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: Can afford education;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: Will be healthier;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: More opportunities for employment;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: Better standard of living / quality of life;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: Less overcrowding;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: Less burden on services e.g. housing;
- [1] Benefits of having a small number of children: More quality time for family;
- [1] Problems of having a small number of children: Children needed to work (on the farms or other examples) / sent away to work so less money coming in / more work to be done by fewer people;
- [1] Problems of having a small number of children: High infant mortality rate so children may not survive to adulthood;
- [1] Problems of having a small number of children: May not have a son to carry on the family name;
- [1] Problems of having a small number of children: May not have a child to take care of parents in old age;
- [1] Problems of having a small number of children: Have to pay others to work / less income earned;
- [1] How: Death rate is falling / decreasing / declining / lower; (decreased from 30 in 1947 to 7.2 per 1000 in 2012);
- [1] Why: Due to improved access to healthcare / more doctors / nurses;
- [1] Why: Improved medical facilities / more or better or improved hospitals / clinics / faster emergency services;
- [1] Why: Diseases like cholera / malaria / typhoid have been brought under control;
- [1] Why: Vaccinations;
- [1] Why: Improvements in food production / hygienic food / improved diets or examples;
- [1] Why: Education about healthy living / lifestyle / exercise;
- [1] Why: Improved hygiene / sanitation / sewerage;
- [1] Why: Safer / cleaner drinking water / water supply;
- [1] Why: Infant mortality rate decreasing;
- Note: One mark for identification of appropriate idea and a further mark for development (in parentheses).
- Note: Max. 2 marks if no development.
- No valid response [0]
- Level 1 [1-2]: Simple point addressing any view (1) / Simple points addressing any view (2)
- Level 2 [3-4]: Developed point(s) explaining one view (3) / Developed point(s) explaining both views (4) / No evaluation
- Level 3 [5-6]: Developed points explaining both views / Evaluation giving clear support to one view or appropriate example (5) / Evaluation giving clear support to one view and appropriate example (6)
- Content Guide (Low birth and death rates may assist future development because):
- [~] Lead to population / economic stability;
- [~] A lower birth rate puts less pressure on the economic resources, e.g. education and healthcare, food and housing;
- [~] A low birth rate means a lower dependency ratio;
- [~] Lower birth rate allows greater investment into agriculture, trade, industry, transport etc. which will eventually lead to economic growth;
- [~] A larger proportion of 15–60-year olds will mean that there is a large proportion of the population available for work / economically active to contribute to increasing the revenue of the country / pay taxes;
- [~] Lower death rate means that elderly people can help with child care / pass on wisdom / knowledge to younger generations;
- Content Guide (Low birth and death rates may limit / hinder future development because):
- [~] Lower death rate will mean there are more people living longer, which leads to an ageing dependent population may offset possible development from a lower birth rate;
- [~] A higher proportion of elderly people will increase the need for investment in healthcare, care homes, pensions etc.;
- [~] There will be an increased dependency ratio of older people to younger people and who contribute less to the economic growth of the country;
- [~] A larger proportion of 15–60-year olds will mean that there is a large proportion of the population available for work / economically active but this could lead to high unemployment levels if there are not enough jobs available putting a further economic burden on the government;
- Examples / ideas of how to reduce birth rates e.g. Subs-Sitara Clinics / Chabi ka Nishan
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