Study Fig. 1.1, which shows information about population growth in the UK.
- (a)(i)What was the total population growth in the UK in 2014?[1]
- (a)(ii)What is meant by the following terms: natural population growth net migration?[2]
- (a)(iii)Identify from Fig. 1.1 a year when: – net migration was greater than natural population growth – there were more emigrants than immigrants – the largest total population growth occurred.[3]
- (a)(iv)Explain why there are low rates of natural population growth in MEDCs such as the UK.[4]
- (b)(i)Study Fig. 1.2, which shows information about population growth in Africa and Europe from 1800 to 2100 (estimated). Compare population growth in Africa and Europe between 1800 and 2100 (estimated). You should refer to years and use statistics in your answer.[3]
- (b)(ii)Suggest problems which are likely to occur in Africa as a result of its population growth.[5]
- (c)For a named country you have studied, describe a population policy which has been used to influence its population growth. Comment on how successful this policy was. Name of country[7]
This question uses a diagram from the original paper, which isn't shown here. Open the full paper from the past papers archive to see it.
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2019). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] 500 000
- [2] Natural population growth: Difference between the number of birth and deaths / BR-DR / BR higher than DR / more births than deaths;
- Net migration: Difference between immigration and emigration / more moving in than out / immigration-emigration;
- [3] Net migration bigger than natural population growth= 1999-2011 inclusive / 2014;
- More emigrants than immigrants= 1992;
- Largest increase in population= 2011;
- [4] Ideas such as: Low BR / fertility rates;
- Use of / availability of contraception / family planning is widespread / can afford contraception;
- Availability of abortions;
- Educated about family planning / problems of large population growth;
- Women are educated / many women have careers / emancipation;
- Expense of large families / people want to buy luxury goods;
- Benefits are available for elderly / no need for many children to look after the elderly / old people have pensions / care homes;
- Education is compulsory;
- Low IMR rates;
- Get married later / have children later;
- Children not needed as workers / on farms;
- Secular society / religious beliefs do not prevent use of contraception;
- Etc.
- [3] Ideas which compare growth such as: More growth in Africa overall;
- Population was higher in Europe in 1800 but higher in Africa in 2100;
- Growth was more rapid in Europe up to 1950 / or any period before that as long as not a single year;
- Growth has been much more rapid in Africa since 1950 / or any period after that as long as not a single year;
- Europe's population is predicted / estimated to decrease (from 2015) but Africa's predicted to increase;
- Statistics with units to MAX. 1 RESERVE – needs to be comparative and include 2 dates for each of Europe and Africa. Do not need to be supporting statements made.
- [5] Ideas such as : Lack of housing / overcrowded houses / shanty towns;
- Pressure on health care;
- Pressure on educational facilities;
- Lack of employment;
- Lack of food / farmland / starvation / need to import more food;
- Pressure on water supplies / lack of water;
- Pressure on sanitation / lots of waste / waste disposal problems;
- Traffic congestion / jams;
- Overuse of agricultural land / desertification / have to farm marginal land;
- Deforestation;
- Air / water pollution;
- Poverty;
- Pressure on electricity / power / fuel shortages;
- Etc.
- [7] Levels marking
- Level 1 (1-3 marks) Statements including limited detail which describe and/or comment on the success of a population policy.
- e.g. One Child Policy
- Level 2 (4-6 marks) More developed statements which describe and/or comment on the success of a population policy. Can use 3 × L2 for description or evaluation. (Note: Max. 5 if no named or inappropriate example)
- Level 3 (7 marks) Uses named example. Comprehensive and accurate statements which describe and comment (both at L2) on the success of a population policy including some place specific reference.
- Note: Anti natal policies e.g. China One Child Policy
- Ideas will cover the following – so credit only 1 × L2 for each of the ideas below, although other ideas such as applying to have a child / increasing the age of marriage can also be credited.
- Any country with an anti natal policy follows the marking structure for China.
- Whereas pro natal policies e.g. Singapore / France can develop any ideas to L2, without using the China marking structure.
- Incentives - e.g. One Child Policy & Free education (L2)
- Penalties - One Child Policy & use of fines (L2)
- Exceptions - One Child Policy & not penalized for twins or if first child disabled (L2)
- Enforcement – One Child Policy & Granny Police (L2)
- Not: allow second child is the first born is a girl in rural areas too generalized
- Content Guide: Policy could be to reduce or increase population growth and could refer to natural growth or migration.
- Answers are likely to refer to: ∞ Limits on numbers of children
- ∞ Methods of enforcement
- ∞ Provision of contraception
- ∞ Legislation about abortion
- ∞ Impact on birth rates
- ∞ Female infanticide
- ∞ Imbalance of sex ratios
- ∞ Reduced birth rate
- ∞ Less pressure on schools
- ∞ Less pressure on food
- ∞ Less pressure on medical care
- ∞ Etc.
- Place specific reference is likely to consist of: Named parts of the chosen country, Population data, Specific aspects of policy etc. Statistics (can also be credited as PS)
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