Evaluate the likely impact on KTJ of fluctuations in the exchange rate of country B's currency.
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2025). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] Definition of Exchange rate: price of one currency in terms of another.
- [1] Explanation of fluctuation in exchange rate: depreciation – a decrease in the price of a currency in terms of another.
- [1] Explanation of fluctuation in exchange rate: appreciation – an increase in the price of a currency in terms of another.
- [1] Impact of ER fluctuations: increases uncertainty making decision making more difficult for KTJ.
- [1] Impact of depreciation: Beneficial for exporting.
- [1] Impact of depreciation: Imports more expensive.
- [1] Impact of depreciation: Imported goods in country B may be less price competitive following depreciation.
- [1] Application: KTJ exports to US and other countries.
- [1] Application: KTJ imports fruits from West Africa.
- [1] Application: Investment in country C or D.
- [1] Application: Depreciation makes exports cheaper to US, increasing competitiveness.
- [1] Application: Importing fruit becomes more expensive.
- [1] Application: Margin squeeze despite higher export volume.
- [1] Application: Impact on ARR for C/D investment.
- [1] Application: Movements influence pricing strategy and profitability.
- [1] Analysis: Depreciation will reduce the price of KTJ juices in international markets such as the US resulting in greater price competitiveness.
- [2] Analysis: Depreciation will reduce the price of KTJ juices in international markets such as the US resulting in greater price competitiveness and this will increase sales and market share of KTJ.
- [1] Analysis: The cost of investing in country C or D will increase which will reduce the ARR of the investment.
- [2] Analysis: The cost of investing in country C or D will increase which will reduce the ARR of the investment and may result in a delay to opening a new factory.
- [1] Analysis: As KTJ imports fruit from West Africa its price will increase and therefore KTJ's variable costs will increase.
- [2] Analysis: As KTJ imports fruit from West Africa its price will increase and therefore KTJ's variable costs will increase resulting in a reduction in profit.
- [1] Evaluation: Supported judgement as to overall impact of depreciation on KTJ.
- [1] Evaluation: KTJ likely to benefit as although imported fruit costs rise this is only a part of KTJ's costs of production so should still be more price competitive when KTJ exports the final product.
- [1] Evaluation: Inflationary impact of depreciation on the economy as a whole.
- [1] Evaluation: Net impact depends on the balance between export revenue gains and import cost increases.
- [1] Evaluation: Short-term depreciation may be beneficial but long-term volatility complicates planning.
- [1] Evaluation: Factors that the impact might depend on: Extent to which customers are impacted by changes in price – PED.
- [1] Evaluation: Factors that the impact might depend on: Whether the depreciation is long term.
- [1] Evaluation: Factors that the impact might depend on: Effects may be mitigated if exports are invoiced in foreign currency or supply sources can be diversified.
- [1] Evaluation: Factors that the impact might depend on: Hedging strategies can reduce risk from currency volatility.
- [1] Evaluation: Factors that the impact might depend on: Pricing power in export markets affects KTJ's ability to pass on cost changes.
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