In 2014, the government of Kazakhstan devalued its currency, the tenge. A year later the country still had a current account deficit. Therefore, in 2016 it considered adopting a floating exchange rate which might help to remove the deficit. However, it had concerns that this might affect the country's inflation rate which was already high at 17%.
- (a)Define devaluation.[2]
- (b)Explain two advantages of a floating exchange rate.[4]
- (c)Analyse how fiscal policy measures could reduce inflation.[6]
- (d)Discuss whether or not a reduction in a current account deficit on the balance of payments will benefit an economy.[8]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2018). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] A fall in the value (1) of a (fixed) exchange rate (1).
- [1] Fall in value of currency (1) relative to another (1).
- [1] Fall/decrease in exchange rate (1).
- [0] Fall/decrease in currency (0).
- [1] It should automatically eliminate current account imbalances
- [1] by floating down when there is a deficit
- [1] No currency reserves are needed
- [1] as the government will not intervene to influence the value of the currency
- [1] No government intervention needed
- [1] as the exchange rate will be at the market price / determined by supply and demand
- [1] The exchange rate is not a policy target
- [1] policy measures do not have to be used to influence its value
- [1] A rise in taxes
- [1] causes a fall in disposable income/rise in costs
- [1] fall in government spending
- [1] will reduce total (aggregate) demand
- [1] reduce demand-pull inflation
- [1] Government spending on education/training/subsidies
- [1] lower taxes
- [1] could reduce costs of production
- [1] will increase total (aggregate) supply
- [1] lower cost-push inflation
- [1] Lower taxes on imports would reduce cost-push inflation
- [1] May mean that demand for imports has fallen
- [1] and/or demand for exports has risen
- [1] higher total (aggregate) demand
- [1] may increase GDP/create economic growth
- [1] reduce unemployment
- [1] Will reduce debt
- [1] not have to borrow as much to finance it
- [1] May cause appreciation of exchange rate
- [1] leading to lower inflation
- [1] If the deficit is reduced by buying fewer imports of raw materials
- [1] and capital goods
- [1] may reduce GDP
- [1] lower exports in the longer run
- [1] If fewer imports are being purchased because of a recession
- [1] GDP will be falling
- [1] If fewer imports are being purchased because trade restrictions are introduced
- [1] there may be retaliation
- [1] with tariffs/quotas being imposed one exports
- [1] Higher total (aggregate) demand might lead to (demand-pull) inflation
- [1] Exchange rate may appreciate
- [1] can reduce total demand/worsen the deficit in the long run
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