In July 2016 the Sveriges Riksbank, Sweden's central bank, cut the rate of interest to 0.25%. The Swedish economy was experiencing deflation, with the weighted price index falling by 0.2% on the previous year. The fall in the rate of interest reduced the value of the krona, Sweden's currency, and was expected to end deflation.
- (a)Define 'a weighted price index'.[2]
- (b)Explain two ways in which a central bank differs from a commercial bank.[4]
- (c)Analyse how a fall in the value of a currency may increase a current account surplus on the balance of payments.[6]
- (d)Discuss whether a cut in the rate of interest would end deflation.[8]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2016). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [2] • A measure of changes in the price level/measure of inflation (1) which takes into account the different proportions spent on items in a basket of goods and services (1).
- [4] • A central bank is the bank of the government and commercial banks (1) whereas a commercial bank is the bank of firms and households (1).
- • A central bank issues notes and coins (1) which a commercial bank cannot do (1).
- • A central bank implements monetary policy measures e.g. changes in the rate of interest (1) whereas a commercial bank responds to monetary policy measures (1).
- • A central bank is owned by the government (1) a commercial bank is usually privately owned (1),
- [6] • A fall in the value would mean that more of the currency has to be sold to buy a given unit of another currency (1).
- • A fall in the value of the currency would reduce export prices (1) and increase import prices (1).
- • Demand for exports may increase/more exports (1) this may increase export revenue (1) if demand for exports is price elastic (1).
- • Demand for imports may fall/lower imports (1) this will reduce import expenditure (1) if demand for imports is price elastic (1).
- • A rise in export revenue and/or a fall in import expenditure will increase a trade in goods/ and services surplus (1).
- • Trade in goods and trade in services appear in the current account (1) credit items in the current account would increase (1) while debit items would fall (1).
- [8] Up to 5 marks for why it might:
- • A reduction in the rate of interest will reduce the return from saving/discourage saving (1) instead of saving households may spend (1).
- • A lower interest rate will cut the cost of borrowing (1) this may encourage households to take out loans and spend (1).
- • Firms may spend more on capital goods/invest (1) as it will be cheaper to borrow (1) they may expect a rise in consumer expenditure (1).
- • Higher total (aggregate) demand (1) may push up the price level (1).
- Up to 5 marks for why it might not:
- • Households may be pessimistic about the future/may expect prices to fall further in the future or that a recession will occur (1) and so may not spend more despite a lower interest rate (1). May choose to repay past debts (1).
- • Firms may be pessimistic about the future/may expect prices to fall in the future (1) and so may not borrow/ invest more despite a lower interest rate (1).
- • The interest rate may initially have been low (1) and so a cut may make little difference (1).
- • Households and firms may not expect the cut to last (1) and so will not alter their spending and investment plans (1).
- • Banks may be reluctant to lend (1) may be a lack of credit worthy borrowers (1).
- Note: not rewarding other policy measures.
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