In 2013, the Singapore Government was concerned that its economy might experience a recession. It was introducing a range of supply-side policy measures to increase productivity, avoid a recession and achieve its other aims for the economy. It was also trying to reduce the international value of the Singapore dollar.
- (a)Define 'recession'.[2]
- (b)Explain two reasons why an economy may have a high foreign exchange rate.[4]
- (c)Analyse how supply-side policy measures could increase productivity.[6]
- (d)Discuss whether a fall in the international value of its currency will always benefit an economy.[8]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2015). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] fall in a country's output/GDP
- [1] over a period of six months/two successive quarters
- [1] a high demand for the currency
- [1] this may arise from e.g. good quality/lower price of exports/speculation that the currency will rise in the future
- [1] a low supply of the currency
- [1] due to, for instance, a low demand for imports/a low level of investment abroad
- [1] government setting a high exchange rate
- [1] by buying the currency/raising the exchange rate
- [1] improved education/training
- [1] may raise workers' skills
- [1] increase output per worker hour
- [1] privatisation
- [1] may increase competitive pressure on firms to keep costs low
- [1] encourage more investment
- [1] increase output per factor hour
- [1] reforming trade unions
- [1] may reduce restrictive practices
- [1] this may allow firms to use their workers more efficiently
- [1] increase output per worker hour
- [1] cutting corporation tax
- [1] may increase profit
- [1] increase investment
- [1] increase output per factor hour
- [1] giving subsidies
- [1] to encourage firms to invest in advanced technology, engage in research and development and/or train workers
- [1] it will lower export prices
- [1] and raise import prices
- [1] make domestic products more internationally competitive
- [1] this may raise export revenue and lower import expenditure
- [1] if demand for exports and imports is elastic
- [1] this may improve the current account position/reduce a current account deficit
- [1] producing more domestic products
- [1] may raise output/GDP
- [1] cause economic growth
- [1] raise employment/reduce unemployment
- [1] increase income
- [1] and living standards
- [1] if the value was being maintained by the government above the equilibrium level
- [1] reserves of foreign currency may not now have to be used
- [1] these could be used for another purpose
- [1] interest rate may not have to be as high
- [1] a lower interest rate may stimulate economic activity
- [1] higher import prices may cause inflation
- [1] raise costs of raw materials
- [1] increase costs of production
- [1] put less downward pressure on domestic firms to be price competitive
- [1] lower prices of exports may be offset by low quality of exports
- [1] fall in incomes abroad
- [1] increase in trade restrictions imposed by foreign governments
- [1] demand for exports and imports may be price inelastic
- [1] in this case export revenue may fall
- [1] and import expenditure may rise
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