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O-LevelEconomicsGovernment and the macroeconomy2281/22 · May/June 2014 · Q620 Marks

In 2012, Mexico's monetary policy was successful in keeping the country's inflation rate low and stable. Fiscal policy measures, including a rise in government spending, contributed to a relatively high economic growth rate of 3.5% and a reduction in the country's unemployment rate.

  1. (a)What is meant by ‘monetary policy'?[2]
  2. (b)Explain two reasons why governments aim for low and stable inflation.[4]
  3. (c)Analyse how an increase in government spending may cause economic growth.[6]
  4. (d)Discuss whether a reduction in a country's unemployment rate will always benefit an economy.[8]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2014). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [2] 2 marks for reference to decisions on any two from interest rates, money supply and the exchange rate.
  2. 1 mark for reference to decisions on any one of the above.
  3. [4] 1 mark each for two reasons identified:
  4. • to promote investment
  5. • to promote international competitiveness
  6. • to avoid lenders, workers with low bargaining power and other groups experiencing a fall in purchasing power
  7. • to protect savers
  8. • to prevent people losing confidence in using the currency as money
  9. • to prevent inflation causing unemployment.
  10. 1 mark each for two reasons explained:
  11. • low and stable inflation creates certainty/makes it easier to plan
  12. • if inflation rate is below that of rival countries, it can increase exports/reduce imports
  13. • if incomes rise by less than inflation, the amount that can be purchased will fall
  14. • savers will lose if inflation rate is higher than interest rate
  15. • may result in people resorting to barter/especially if there is hyperinflation
  16. • inflation can result in a loss in international competitiveness/reduce spending on domestic products.
  17. [6] An increase in government spending may result in:
  18. • higher demand [1] which will encourage firms to expand their output [1]
  19. • higher government spending on education (1) may raise labour productivity [1] and so increase productive potential [1]
  20. • higher government spending on investment [1] will increase productive potential [1]
  21. • government subsidies to firms [1] reduces costs of production [1] encourages firms to produce more [1].
  22. Maximum of 2 marks for a list-like approach.
  23. [8] Up to 6 marks for why it should:
  24. Up to 3 marks for: a reduction in unemployment is likely to increase output [1] higher output should raise living standards [1] may reduce poverty [1].
  25. Up to 3 marks for: may improve the current account position [1] if the rise in output is due to a rise in exports [1] and exports rise by more than imports [1].
  26. Up to 3 marks for: lower unemployment may raise tax revenue [1] e.g. from income tax [1] higher tax revenue can enable a government to spend more on education and health care [1].
  27. Up to 3 marks for: lower unemployment may reduce spending on unemployment benefits [1] money saved may be spent on other items [1] or tax rates reduced [1].
  28. Up to 2 marks for: will move production point closer to the PPC [1] and reduce inefficiency [1].
  29. Up to 6 marks for why it might not:
  30. Up to 5 marks for: lower unemployment may cause a shortage of workers [1] this shortage may push up wage rates [1] higher wages may increase costs of production [1] higher costs can cause cost-push inflation [1] more likely to occur if the economy is operating close to full employment [1].
  31. Up to 4 marks for: lower unemployment may increase total (aggregate) demand [1] higher demand may push up prices [1] causing demand-pull inflation [1] more likely to occur if the economy is operating close to full employment [1].
  32. Up to 3 marks for: lower unemployment may increase a current account deficit [1] higher incomes may increase demand for imports [1] higher demand may divert products from the export to the domestic market [1].
  33. Up to 3 marks for: a reduction in the unemployment rate does not necessarily mean fewer people are unemployed [1] unemployment may have risen if the labour force has risen [1] by more than employment [1].
  34. Maximum of 4 marks for a list-like approach.
  35. Note: accept answers which discuss the possible effects of high unemployment will always harm an economy.

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About this question

Topic
Government and the macroeconomy, O-Level Economics (syllabus 2281). Structured question, 20 marks.
Source
O-Level Economics, May/June 2014 Paper 2 Variant 2, question 6.

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