Read the source material carefully before answering Question 1. Source material: The destruction of forests in Indonesia Indonesian fact file palm oil production (million metric tons) 2017 Indonesia 36.0 2017 world 60.0 rice production (million metric tons) 74.2 483.9 unemployment rate (%) 5.4 5.7 population growth rate (%) 1.2 1.4 Indonesia is the world's largest producer of palm oil. The costs involved in producing palm oil include rent of land, fertiliser, palm oil seeds, maintenance of irrigation systems and casual labour. Fires are set to clear forests to make way for palm oil plantations. These fires destroy the homes of many species of wildlife and release harmful gases into the air. Since 2011, Indonesia has been paid to conserve its forests by the Norwegian government. While Indonesia is the largest producer of palm oil, it is the third largest producer of rice. Indonesia exports 85% of its palm oil but sometimes has to import rice to meet domestic demand. Its international trade in palm oil and rice is influenced by changes in its foreign exchange rate. The price of the Indonesian currency, the rupiah, fell in 2017. Rice production also contributes to air pollution. Rice farmers burn the stubble left after harvesting to clear the fields and to raise the fertility of the land so they can produce more rice. Some environmentalists argue that stubble burning should be banned. The Indonesian economy, along with the world economy, continues to grow. Economic growth can cause pollution. It can also affect a country's GDP per head ranking and Human Development Index (HDI) ranking as shown in Table 1.1. Table 1.1 GDP per head ranking and HDI ranking for selected countries in 2016 country Luxembourg Mauritius Indonesia Cuba Ghana Ethiopia GDP per head ranking 2 64 99 120 134 167 HDI ranking 20 64 113 68 134 174 Indonesia experiences net emigration. Some Indonesians work abroad and send money home to their families. People also come from abroad to work in Indonesia, some in relatively highly paid jobs in the country's expanding tourism industry. Indonesia currently attracts fewer tourists than its neighbours, Singapore and Malaysia. It does, however, have many natural tourist attractions and is currently price competitive.
- (a)Calculate the percentage of total world output of palm oil produced by Indonesia in 2017.[1]
- (b)Identify two variable costs of producing palm oil.[2]
- (c)Explain one opportunity cost of conserving forests in Indonesia.[2]
- (d)Explain two external costs of the destruction of forests in Indonesia.[4]
- (e)Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a ban on burning stubble on the market for rice.[4]
- (f)Analyse the relationship between countries' GDP per head ranking and HDI ranking.[5]
- (g)Discuss whether or not the immigration of workers would be likely to benefit the Indonesian economy.[6]
- (h)Discuss whether or not the Indonesian tourism industry will increase in the future.[6]
This question uses a diagram from the original paper, which isn't shown here. Open the full paper from the past papers archive to see it.
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2020). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] 60%
- [1] fertilisers
- [1] palm oil seeds
- [1] casual labour
- [1] Palm oil not produced / rice not produced / tourism lost as a result of building fewer hotels / lost opportunity to Norwegian government to spend on e.g. education
- [1] (next) best alternative forgone
- [2] Loss of wildlife habitats, leading to extinction of species / harmful effect on animals not involved in the economic decision.
- [2] Harmful gases/air pollution/pollution, causing unpleasant atmosphere for local residents / illnesses / global warming.
- [1] Axes correctly labelled - price and quantity or p and q
- [1] Demand and supply curves correctly labelled
- [1] Supply curve shifted to the left
- [1] Equilibriums – shown by lines P₁ and Q1 and P2 and Q2, or by labelling equilibrium points as E₁ and E2
- [1] Generally, the higher the GDP per head ranking, the higher the HDI ranking / positive relationship / direct relationship
- [1] The top country, the top two or top three countries with the highest GDP per head ranking have the highest HDI ranking
- [1] the country, two countries with the lowest GDP per head ranking have the lowest HDI ranking
- [1] Cuba or Indonesia supportive data – Cuba has a lower GDP per head ranking than Indonesia but a higher HDI ranking than Indonesia
- [1] GDP is a component of HDI / HDI ranking influenced by additional factors – education and/or life expectancy / higher GDP per head enables more to be spent on education and healthcare
- [1] may be skilled workers
- [1] who may be more productive
- [1] may be motivated to work harder
- [1] to improve quality of life
- [1] bring in new ideas
- [1] improving production methods / use advanced technology
- [1] may pay taxes
- [1] enabling the government to spend more
- [1] fill vacancies left by Indonesians going to work abroad
- [1] increase size of labour force
- [1] increase productive capacity
- [1] reduce dependency ratio
- [1] may increase exports / total (aggregate) demand
- [1] may result in economic growth / increase output
- [1] population is already increasing
- [1] immigration may take it above the optimum level / lead to overpopulation / put pressure on resources
- [1] pressure may be put on housing / education / food
- [1] may put downward pressure on wages
- [1] may replace Indonesian workers / cause unemployment
- [1] lowering living standards
- [1] may need training
- [1] increasing firms' costs
- [1] may increase pollution
- [1] may send money home to relatives
- [1] may have to import more e.g. rice
- [1] negative impact on the current account of the balance of payments
- [1] it is currently price competitive
- [1] if the exchange rate continues to fall
- [1] price of tourism for foreign visitors will fall
- [1] it has natural tourist attractions
- [1] may preserve forests
- [1] global economy is growing
- [1] incomes are rising
- [1] enabling foreigners to afford more holidays
- [1] people coming from abroad to work in high paid jobs
- [1] skilled / highly motivated
- [1] raise quality of tourism
- [1] Indonesian government may subsidise the tourism industry
- [1] lowering costs of production
- [1] the industry may be promoted /advertised
- [1] air travel is falling in price
- [1] air travel is a complement to holidays
- [1] foreign investment may be attracted into the industry
- [1] pollution may discourage visitors
- [1] worried about health
- [1] there are substitutes
- [1] Indonesia has competition from neighbouring countries
- [1] natural areas of beauty may be destroyed
- [1] new palm oil plantations / natural disasters
- [1] net emigration
- [1] may mean there are not enough workers
- [1] Covid-19 may continue to reduce tourism
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