Maryam has 7 sweets in a tin; 6 are toffees and 1 is a chocolate. She chooses one sweet at random and takes it out. Her friend adds 3 chocolates to the tin. Then Maryam takes another sweet at random out of the tin.
- (i)Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to illustrate this situation.[3]
- (ii)Draw up the probability distribution table for the number of toffees taken.[3]
- (iii)Find the mean number of toffees taken.[1]
- (iv)Find the probability that the first sweet taken is a chocolate, given that the second sweet taken is a toffee.[4]
This question uses a diagram from the original paper, which isn't shown here. Open the full paper from the past papers archive to see it.
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2019). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [B1] First pair of branches labels and probs correct (6/7 and 1/7 or rounding to 0.857 and 0.143) (for part (i))
- [B1] Either of second top pair or bottom of branches labels and probs correct (for part (i))
- [B1] Both second pairs of branches labels and probs correct. No additional / further branches. (for part (i))
- [B1] P(1) correct (for part (ii))
- [B1] P(0) or P(2) correct (for part (ii))
- [B1 FT] Correct values in table, any additional values of T have stated probability of zero. For FT Σp = 1, (for part (ii))
- [B1] Not FT (for part (iii))
- [B1] P(C∩T) attempt seen as numerator of a fraction, consistent with their tree diagram or correct (for part (iv))
- [M1] Summing 2 appropriate two-factor probabilities, consistent with their tree diagram or correct seen anywhere (for part (iv))
- [A1] 36/63 oe or correct unsimplifed expression seen as numerator or denominator of a fraction (for part (iv))
- [A1] Final answer (for part (iv))
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