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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/61 · May/June 2018 · Q68 Marks

Vehicles approaching a certain road junction from town A can either turn left, turn right or go straight on. Over time it has been noted that of the vehicles approaching this particular junction from town A, 55% turn left, 15% turn right and 30% go straight on. The direction a vehicle takes at the junction is independent of the direction any other vehicle takes at the junction.

  1. (i)Find the probability that, of the next three vehicles approaching the junction from town A, one goes straight on and the other two either both turn left or both turn right.[4]
  2. (ii)Three vehicles approach the junction from town A. Given that all three drivers choose the same direction at the junction, find the probability that they all go straight on.[4]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2018). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [M1] P(SLL), P(SRR), P(SSL) or P(SSR) seen
  2. [A1] Two correct options 0.09075 or 0.00675 can be unsimplified
  3. [M1] Summing 6 prob options not all identical
  4. [A1] Correct answer
  5. [B1] (0.3)³ oe seen on its own as num or denom of a fraction
  6. [M1] Attempt at P(SSS+LLL+RRR) seen anywhere
  7. [A1] (0.15)³ + (0.55)³ + (0.3)³ oe seen as denom of a fraction
  8. [A1] Correct answer

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 8 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, May/June 2018 Paper 6 Variant 1, question 6.

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