A company sells small and large bags of rice. The masses of the small bags of rice are normally distributed with mean 1.20 kg and standard deviation 0.16 kg.
- (a)In a random sample of 500 of these small bags of rice, how many would you expect to have a mass greater than 1.26 kg?[4]
- (b)The masses of the large bags of rice are normally distributed with mean 2.50 kg and standard deviation σ kg. 20% of these large bags of rice have a mass less than 2.40 kg. Find the value of σ.[3]
- (c)A random sample of 80 large bags of rice is chosen. Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that fewer than 22 of these large bags of rice have a mass less than 2.40 kg.[5]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Feb/Mar 2024). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [M1] Use of standardisation formula with 1.26, 1.20 and 0.16, not σ², not σ, no continuity correction.
- [M1] Calculating the appropriate probability area, (leading to their final probability, expect < 0.5).
- [A1] 0.3538, 0.3535 < p < 0.354. Only dependent on the 2nd M mark. SC B1 for 0.3535 < p < 0.354 if M0M0A0 awarded.
- [B1 FT] Strict FT their at least 4-figure calculated probability, seen anywhere (not a z-value). Final answer must be a single positive integer value, no approximation or rounding stated.
- [B1] -0.842 < z < -0.8415 or 0.8415 < z < 0.842 seen.
- [M1] Use of the standardisation formula with 2.40, 2.50, σ and a z-value (not 0.20, 0.80, 0.158, 0.7881, 0.2119, 0.5793, 0.4207, ...), not σ². Condone continuity correction of ±0.005. Condone 0.1/σ = -0.842 etc. for M1.
- [A1] 0.1185 < σ < 0.119.
- [B1] 16 and 12.8 seen, allow unsimplified. May be seen in standardisation formula. 8√5 / 5, 3.5777... to at least three significant figures implies correct variance. Incorrect notation penalised.
- [M1] Substituting their 16 (not 1.2, 2.5) and their 12.8 (not 0.16, their 0.119) in the standardising formula (any number for 21.5), condone σ² or √σ.
- [M1] Using continuity correction 21.5 or 22.5 in their standardisation formula.
- [M1] Appropriate area Φ, from final process, must be a probability.
- [A1] 0.9375 < p < 0.938.
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