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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/52 · Feb/Mar 2022 · Q411 Marks

The weights of male leopards in a particular region are normally distributed with mean 55kg and standard deviation 6kg.

  1. (a)Find the probability that a randomly chosen male leopard from this region weighs between 46 and 62 kg.[4]
  2. (b)The weights of female leopards in this region are normally distributed with mean 42kg and standard deviation σkg. It is known that 25% of female leopards in the region weigh less than 36kg. Find the value of σ.[3]
  3. (c)The distributions of the weights of male and female leopards are independent of each other. A male leopard and a female leopard are each chosen at random. Find the probability that both the weights of these leopards are less than 46kg.[4]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Feb/Mar 2022). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. M1 46 or 62, 55 and 6 substituted into ±standardisation formula once. Condone 6² and continuity correction ±0.5
  2. B1 Both standardisation values correct, accept unsimplified
  3. M1 Calculating the appropriate area from stated Φs of z-values, must be probabilities.
  4. A1 0.8115 < p < 0.812
  5. P(46 < X < 62) = P((46-55)/6 < Z < (62-55)/6)
  6. = P(-1.5 < Z < 7/6)
  7. = P(-1.5 < Z < 1.1666...)
  8. = Φ(1.1666...) - Φ(-1.5)
  9. = Φ(1.1666...) - (1 - Φ(1.5))
  10. = 0.8784 + 0.9332 - 1 = 0.8116
  11. B1 CAO, critical z-value
  12. M1 36 and 42 substituted in ±standardisation formula, no continuity correction, not σ², √σ, equated to a z-value
  13. A1 WWW. Only dependent on M.
  14. P(F < 36) = 0.25
  15. P(Z < (36-42)/σ) = 0.25
  16. P(Z < -6/σ) = 0.25
  17. From tables, z = -0.674
  18. -6/σ = -0.674
  19. σ = 8.899 ≈ 8.90
  20. M1 FT value from part (a) or Correct: 1-Φ((46-55)/6), condone continuity correction, σ², √σ, and probability found. Condone unsupported correct value stated.
  21. M1 46, 42 and their 4(b) σ (or correct σ) substituted in ±standardisation formula, condone continuity correction, σ², √σ, and probability found Condone 4/their 8.90
  22. M1 Product of their 2 probabilities (0 < both < 1) Not 0.25 or their final answer to 4(a) used.
  23. A1 0.0449 < p < 0.0450
  24. P(male < 46) = P(Z < (46-55)/6) = P(Z < -1.5) = 1 - Φ(1.5) = 1 - 0.9332 = 0.0668
  25. P(female < 46) = P(Z < (46-42)/σ) = P(Z < 4/8.90) = P(Z < 0.4495) = Φ(0.4495) = 0.6736
  26. P(both < 46) = 0.0668 × 0.6736 = 0.045009

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 11 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Feb/Mar 2022 Paper 5 Variant 2, question 4.

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