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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/61 · Oct/Nov 2025 · Q56 Marks

It is known that 20% of households in a certain country contain more than 4 people. Laxmi believes that, in her town, the percentage is lower than 20%. She chooses a random sample of 40 households in her town and notes the number which contain more than 4 people. She then carries out a test at the 2.5% significance level using a binomial distribution.

  1. (a)Find the probability of a Type I error.[4]
  2. (b)State the rejection region for the test.[1]
  3. (c)Laxmi finds that exactly 2 households in her sample contain more than 4 people. Explain why it is impossible for Laxmi to make a Type II error.[1]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2025). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. M1 Attempt P(X < 2) or P(X ≤ 3) using B(40, 0.2). Need to see expressions.
  2. A1 SC unjustified X ≤ 2 = 0.00794 scores M0B1.
  3. B1FT Correct term P(X = 3) added to P(X < 2) and one relevant comparison seen. Need to see expressions.
  4. B1 Unjustified final answer 0.00794 scores SCB1B1.
  5. B1 OE.
  6. B1

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 6 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2025 Paper 6 Variant 1, question 5.

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