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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/53 · Oct/Nov 2025 · Q48 Marks

A fair red spinner has 4 sides, numbered 1, 2, 3, 4. A fair blue spinner has 4 sides, numbered 0, 1, 2, 3. When a spinner is spun, the score is the number on the side on which it lands. The two spinners are spun at the same time. The random variable X denotes the higher of the two scores obtained. If the two scores are equal, then the value of X is 0.

  1. (a)Draw up the probability distribution table for X.[3]
  2. (b)Find Var(X).[3]
  3. (c)The red spinner, with sides numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, is spun repeatedly. Find the probability that it lands on 4 for the first time before the 8th spin.[2]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2025). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [B1] Table with correct x values and one correct probability.
  2. [B1] 2 more probabilities correct linked to the correct x value, need not be in table, accept un-simplified.
  3. [B1] 5 correct probabilities linked with correct outcomes. SCB1 5 non-zero probabilities (not all 1/5) summing to 1 placed in a probability distribution table with correct x values if only one of the first two B marks are scored.
  4. [M1FT] Accept un-simplified or bold expression with probabilities (0 < p < 1) that add to 1. May be calculated in variance. FT their table with 4 or 5 probabilities adding to 1.
  5. [M1FT] Appropriate variance formula using their (E(X))² value. FT their table with 4 or more probabilities (0 < p < 1) which need not sum to 1 or with an expression no more evaluated than shown.
  6. [A1] Accept 1.984375 to 3 or more SF. SCB1 for 1.98 if M0 M1 scored.
  7. [M1] 1-(3/4)ⁿ with n = 6, 7, 8.
  8. [A1] = 0.8665 to 4SF.

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 8 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2025 Paper 5 Variant 3, question 4.

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