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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/53 · Oct/Nov 2024 · Q17 Marks

30% of the residents of Wimfield own an electric car. Three residents are chosen at random.

  1. (a)Find the probability that either all three own an electric car or none of them owns an electric car.[2]
  2. (b)A random sample of 125 of the residents of Wimfield is selected. Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that more than 45 of these residents own an electric car.[5]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2024). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [M1] p³ +q³, p+q=1, p,q > 0 or 1-(3× p²xq+3×pxq²), p+q=1,p,q>0.
  2. [A1] 0.37[0] or 37/100
  3. [B1] 37.5 or 37½ and 26.25, 26½ seen, allow unsimplified. May be seen in standardisation formula. ([σ=]5.12, √105/2 implies correct variance).
  4. [M1] Substituting their mean and their positive standard deviation into the standardising formula (any number for 45.5), not their σ², not their √σ.
  5. [M1] Use continuity corrections 44.5 or 45.5 in their standardisation formula Note: +8/√26.25 or +8/5.123 seen gains M2 BOD
  6. [M1] Appropriate area Φ, from final process, must be a probability. Expect final answer < 0.5. Note: appropriate final answer implies this M1.
  7. [A1] 0.0592 < p < 0.0593.

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 7 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2024 Paper 5 Variant 3, question 1.

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