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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/53 · Oct/Nov 2022 · Q59 Marks

Company A produces bags of sugar. An inspector finds that on average 10% of the bags are underweight. 10 of the bags are chosen at random. The weights of the bags of sugar produced by company B are normally distributed with mean 1.04 kg and standard deviation 0.06 kg. 81% of the bags of sugar produced by company B weigh less than w kg.

  1. (a)Find the probability that fewer than 3 of these bags are underweight.[3]
  2. (b)Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag produced by company B weighs more than 1.11 kg.[3]
  3. (c)Find the value of w.[3]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2022). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [M1] One term ¹⁰Cx p^x (1-p)^(10-x), 0<p<1, x≠0
  2. [A1] Correct expression, accept unsimplified.
  3. [B1] 0.9298 < p < 0.9303
  4. [M1] 1.11, 1.04 and 0.06 substituted into ±Standardisation formula, no continuity correction not 0.06² or √0.06
  5. [M1] 1-their 0.8784 as final answer, must be probability. (Expect final ans < 0.5).
  6. [A1] 0.1216 < p < 0.122 SC M0 M1 B1 for 0.122 with no standardisation formula.
  7. [B1] 0.8775 < z < 0.878 or -0.878 < z < -0.8775 seen.
  8. [M1] 1.04 and 0.06 substituted in standardisation formula, no continuity correction, not σ², √σ, equated to a z-value.
  9. [A1] 1.09 ≤ w ≤ 1.093

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 9 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2022 Paper 5 Variant 3, question 5.

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