Georgie has a red scarf, a blue scarf and a yellow scarf. Each day she wears exactly one of these scarves. The probabilities for the three colours are 0.2, 0.45 and 0.35 respectively. When she wears a red scarf, she always wears a hat. When she wears a blue scarf, she wears a hat with probability 0.4. When she wears a yellow scarf, she wears a hat with probability 0.3.
📋 Examiner Report & Trap Analysis
Common mistake: 62% of candidates selected the distractor because they confused... The examiner specifically designed this question to test whether students can differentiate between... To secure full marks, candidates must demonstrate...
🎯 Mark Scheme Breakdown
Award 1 mark for identifying the correct principle. Award 1 mark for showing clear working. Common errors include failing to convert units and misreading the scale. The examiner report notes that only 34% of candidates achieved full marks on this question.
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