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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/61 · Oct/Nov 2021 · Q710 Marks

The masses, in grams, of apples from a certain farm have mean µ and standard deviation 5.2. The farmer says that the value of µ is 64.6. A quality control inspector claims that the value of µ is actually less than 64.6. In order to test his claim he chooses a random sample of 100 apples from the farm.

  1. (a)The mean mass of the 100 apples is found to be 63.5 g. Carry out the test at the 2.5% significance level.[5]
  2. (b)Later another test of the same hypotheses at the 2.5% significance level, with another random sample of 100 apples from the same farm, is carried out. Given that the value of µ is in fact 62.7, calculate the probability of a Type II error.[5]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2021). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [B1] Ho: µ = 64.6, H₁: µ < 64.6 (Allow population mean, not just 'mean'.)
  2. [M1] (63.5 - 64.6) / (5.2 / √100) (Standardising. Must have √100.)
  3. [A1] -2.115 (Accept -2.12 (3sf))
  4. [M1] '2.115' > 1.96 or '–2.115' <-1.96 [do not accept Ho] (Valid comparison (0.0172 < 0.025 for area comparison).
  5. [A1 FT] There is evidence that µ < 64.6 (Not definite, e.g. not ‘µ < 64.6’. in context. No contradictions. Accept critical value method leading to 63.5 < 63.58 or 64.6 > 64.52.)
  6. [M1] m - 64.6 = -1.96 * (5.2 / √100) (Finding the critical value using N(64.6, 5.2/√100) and a z value.)
  7. [A1] m = 63.5808
  8. [M1] (63.5808 - 62.7) / (5.2 / √100) [= 1.694] (Standardising using N(62.7, 5.2/√100) and a critical value.)
  9. [M1] 1 – Φ('1.694') (For area consistent with their values.)
  10. [A1] 0.0451 (Accept answers that round to 0.045.)

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 10 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2021 Paper 6 Variant 1, question 7.

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