The 1300 train from Jahor to Keman runs every day. The probability that the train arrives late in Keman is 0.35.
- (a)For a random sample of 7 days, find the probability that the train arrives late on fewer than 3 days.[3]
- (b)A random sample of 142 days is taken. Use an approximation to find the probability that the train arrives late on more than 40 days.[5]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2020). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [M1] Binomial term of form ⁿCx pˣ (1-p)ⁿ⁻ˣ, 0<p<1, any p, x ≠ 0, 7
- [A1] Correct unsimplified answer
- [A1] 0.532
- [B1] Correct unsimplified np and npq (condone σ = 5.684 evaluated)
- [M1] Substituting their µ and σ (no √σ or σ²) into standardisation formula with a numerical value for '40.5'
- [M1] Using either 40.5 or 39.5 within a standardisation formula
- [M1] Appropriate area Ф, from standardisation formula P(z >...) in final solution, must be probability
- [A1] Correct final answer
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