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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/53 · Oct/Nov 2020 · Q48 Marks

The 1300 train from Jahor to Keman runs every day. The probability that the train arrives late in Keman is 0.35.

  1. (a)For a random sample of 7 days, find the probability that the train arrives late on fewer than 3 days.[3]
  2. (b)A random sample of 142 days is taken. Use an approximation to find the probability that the train arrives late on more than 40 days.[5]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2020). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [M1] Binomial term of form ⁿCx pˣ (1-p)ⁿ⁻ˣ, 0<p<1, any p, x ≠ 0, 7
  2. [A1] Correct unsimplified answer
  3. [A1] 0.532
  4. [B1] Correct unsimplified np and npq (condone σ = 5.684 evaluated)
  5. [M1] Substituting their µ and σ (no √σ or σ²) into standardisation formula with a numerical value for '40.5'
  6. [M1] Using either 40.5 or 39.5 within a standardisation formula
  7. [M1] Appropriate area Ф, from standardisation formula P(z >...) in final solution, must be probability
  8. [A1] Correct final answer

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 8 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2020 Paper 5 Variant 3, question 4.

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