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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/53 · May/June 2025 · Q36 Marks

A fair six-sided dice with faces labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 is thrown repeatedly until a 3 is obtained. The number of throws taken is denoted by the random variable X.

  1. (a)Find P(X= 8).[1]
  2. (b)Find P(X < 9).[2]
  3. (c)Find the probability that a 3 is obtained for the second time before the 6th throw.[3]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2025). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [B1] P(X=8)= (5/6)⁷ * (1/6) = 0.0465, 78125/1679616
  2. [M1] 1-(5/6)ᵈ, d=8,9.
  3. [A1] = 0.767 AWRT.
  4. [M1] (1/6) + (5/6)(1/6) + ... + (5/6)⁷(1/6)
  5. [A1] = 0.767 AWRT.
  6. [B1] Two identified scenarios correct, accept un-simplified calculations.
  7. [M1] Four correctly identified scenarios added (here they may be identified by correct un-simplified calculations). Condone ²C₁ = 2 etc.
  8. [A1] 0.196, 763/3888 (0.196 < p < 0.1963. SCB1 for correct answer if M mark not awarded.)
  9. [B1] 1 - 1 identified scenario correct, accept un-simplified calculations.
  10. [M1] 1 - 2 correctly identified scenarios (here they may be identified by correct un-simplified calculations). Condone ⁵C₁ = 5.
  11. [A1] 0.196, 763/3888 (0.196 < p < 0.1963. SCB1 for correct answer if M mark not awarded.)

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 6 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, May/June 2025 Paper 5 Variant 3, question 3.

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