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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/52 · May/June 2025 · Q712 Marks

Kestrels are birds whose adult wingspans are normally distributed with mean 74.8cm and standard deviation 3.2 cm. A random sample of 120 adult kestrels is selected.

  1. (a)How many of these 120 adult kestrels would you expect to have wingspan between 72.4 cm and 76.3 cm?[4]
  2. (b)The masses of adult kestrels are normally distributed with mean μkg and standard deviation σkg. It is known that 20% of adult kestrels have mass greater than 0.202kg and 28% have mass less than 0.185 kg. Find the value of μ and the value of σ.[5]
  3. (c)10 adult kestrels are selected at random. Find the probability that fewer than 3 have masses greater than 0.202kg.[3]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2025). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [M1] Use of standardisation formula once with 74.8, 3.2 and either 72.4 or 76.3. No continuity correction, not σ², not √σ.
  2. [M1] Calculating the appropriate probability area, must be a probability (assume a 4SF value in the calculation it is a probability, assume a 3SF value in the calculation it is not a probability). (leading to their final answer, expect < 0.5). Unless there is a misread, the probability area calculation must be structured as shown.
  3. [A1] AWRT 0.454 WWW.
  4. [B1] FT Strict FT their 4-figure probability × 120 (check with calculator). One integer answer. No indication of approximation, e.g. ≈, , about, 2SF.
  5. [B1] 0.841 < z1 < 0.843 or -0.843 < z1 < -0.841 seen.
  6. [B1] 0.582 < z2 < 0.584 or -0.584 < z2 < -0.582 seen.
  7. [M1] Use of the standardisation formula once with μ, σ equating to a z-value (not 0.20, 0.80, 0.28, 0.72, 0.5793, 0.4207, 0.6103, 0.3897, 0.7881, 0.2119, 0.7642, 0.2358, -0.417, 0.417, -0.158 0.158, etc). No continuity correction, not σ², not √σ.
  8. [M1] Solve 2 equations in μ and σ with an attempt at the elimination method, substitution method or other appropriate approach to obtain values for both μ and σ.
  9. [A1] AWRT μ=0.192, σ = 0.0119. There must be consistency with signs in the solution, e.g. σ = 0.017 / -1.425 = 0.0119 is not acceptable, A0. If one or both the M marks have been withheld, SCB1 for both correct WWW.
  10. Method 1: [M1] One term of the form 10Cx (p)x(1-p)10-x, 0<p<1,x≠0 or 10. [A1] Correct un-simplified expression. [B1] 0.677 < p < 0.678.
  11. Method 2: [M1] One term of the form 10Cx (p)x(1-p)10-x, 0<p<1,x≠0 or 10. [A1] Correct un-simplified expression. [B1] 0.677 < p ≤ 0.678.

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 12 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, May/June 2025 Paper 5 Variant 2, question 7.

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