Anil is a candidate in an election. He received 40% of the votes. A random sample of 120 voters is chosen. Use an approximation to find the probability that, of the 120 voters, between 36 and 54 inclusive voted for Anil.
- (a)Use an approximation to find the probability that, of the 120 voters, between 36 and 54 inclusive voted for Anil.[5]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2023). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [B1] Mean = 120 × 0.4 = 48
- [B1] Var = 120 × 0.4 × 0.6 = 28.8
- [B1] 48 and 28.8 seen, allow unsimplified.
- [B1] (5.366 < σ ≤ 5.367 or 12√5/5 implies correct variance).
- [M1] Substituting their μ and σ into one standardisation formula (any number for 35.5 or 54.5), condone σ² and √σ.
- [M1] Using continuity correction 35.5, 36.5 or 53.5, 54.5 once in their standardisation formula.
- [M1] Note: ±12.5/√28.8 or ±6.5/√28.8 seen gains M2 BOD.
- [M1] Appropriate area Φ, from final process. Must be a probability. Expect final answer > 0.5 .
- [M1] Note: correct final answer implies this M1.
- [A1] 0.877 ≤ p < 0.8772 .
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