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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/53 · May/June 2022 · Q47 Marks

Ramesh throws an ordinary fair 6-sided die.

  1. (a)Find the probability that he obtains a 4 for the first time on his 8th throw.[1]
  2. (b)Find the probability that it takes no more than 5 throws for Ramesh to obtain a 4.[2]
  3. (c)For 10 randomly chosen throws of the two dice, find the probability that Ramesh obtains a total of less than 4 on at least three throws.[4]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (May/June 2022). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [B1] (5/6)⁷ × (1/6) = 0.0465, 78125/1679616. 0.0465 < p < 0.04652
  2. [M1] 1-pⁿ, 0 < p < 1, n = 4, 5, 6 or sum of 4, 5 or 6 terms p×(1-p)ⁿ for n = 0,1,2,3,4(5).
  3. [A1] 0.598, 4651/7776
  4. [B1] [Probability of total less than 4 is] 3/36 or 1/12. SOI
  5. [M1] One term ¹⁰Cₓ pˣ (1−p)¹⁰⁻ˣ, for 0 < x < 10, 0 < p < 1.
  6. [A1 FT] Correct expression. Accept unsimplified.
  7. [A1] 0.0445. 0.04448 < p < 0.0445

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 7 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, May/June 2022 Paper 5 Variant 3, question 4.

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