In August 2015, the Chinese Government devalued its currency, the yuan, by around 5%.
- (a)Explain how a government intervenes to manage the value of its currency in the foreign exchange market.[8]
- (b)Discuss the likely effects of the devaluation of the yuan on both the Chinese economy and countries that trade with China.[12]
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2018). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [1] Define exchange rate as the price of one currency in terms of another or a basket of currencies.
- [1] Explain that the exchange rate is determined by the interaction of demand and supply in the foreign exchange market.
- [Up to 3] Explain how a government can influence the demand for its currency (e.g., raising interest rates to attract foreign investment, buying its own currency using foreign reserves).
- [Up to 3] Explain how a government can influence the supply of its currency (e.g., selling its own currency to increase supply, implementing exchange control regulations).
- [Up to 4] Analysis of the likely effects of a devaluation on the Chinese economy (e.g., makes exports cheaper and imports dearer, improves trade balance if Marshall-Lerner condition met, boosts domestic industries, inflation, foreign debt burden).
- [Up to 4] Analysis of the likely effects of a devaluation on countries that trade with China (e.g., makes Chinese imports into these countries cheaper, their exports to China dearer, negative impact on their domestic industries, potential for retaliatory measures).
- [Up to 4] Evaluative judgement of the likely relative impact on the Chinese economy compared to other trading partners (e.g., magnitude, short-run vs. long-run effects, J-curve).
- [1] A reasoned conclusion on the overall impact on each economy.
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