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A-LevelMathematicsProbability and statistics9709/62 · Oct/Nov 2020 · Q48 Marks

The areas, X cm², of petals of a certain kind of flower have mean µ cm². In the past it has been found that μ = 8.9. Following a change in the climate, a botanist claims that the mean is no longer 8.9. The areas of a random sample of 200 petals from this kind of flower are measured, and the results are summarized by Σx = 1850, Σx² = 17 850.

  1. Test the botanist's claim at the 2.5% significance level.[8]

Mark scheme

Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2020). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.

  1. [B1] est(µ) = 1850/200 or 9.25
  2. [M1] Correct formula for unbiased variance estimation and calculation for est(σ²)
  3. [A1] est(σ²) = 3.71 (3sf) or 3.7060 or 1475/398
  4. [B1] H₀: µ = 8.9 and H₁: µ ≠ 8.9
  5. [M1] Calculate test statistic using correct formula (x_bar - mu_0) / (s/sqrt(n))
  6. [A1] Test statistic = 2.57 (3sf) or equivalent p-value from 0.00507 – 0.0051
  7. [M1] Compare test statistic with critical value (2.240/2.241) or p-value (0.00507-0.0051) with significance level (0.0125)
  8. [A1 FT] Reject H₀. There is evidence that µ is not 8.9 (in context, not definite, no contradictions).

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About this question

Topic
Probability and statistics, A-Level Mathematics (syllabus 9709). Structured question, 8 marks.
Source
A-Level Mathematics, Oct/Nov 2020 Paper 6 Variant 2, question 4.

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