Resistance to antibiotics within a population of bacteria is due to selection pressure. This can be linked to the use of antibiotics by patients. A study was carried out into the link between antibiotic use and the presence of resistant Escherichia coli (E. coli) populations in human communities. • Over 30000 patients were involved in the study. • Only patients attending large medical clinics took part in the study. • The number of prescriptions issued by each clinic was used as an estimate of antibiotic use. • Urine from patients attending the clinics was used as a possible source of antibiotic resistant E. coli. • Antibiotic resistance of E. coli in the urine samples was measured using the disc diffusion method. The disc diffusion method measures sensitivity of bacteria to an antibiotic. A bacterial population with low sensitivity to an antibiotic is resistant to that antibiotic. In the disc diffusion method a Petri dish is filled with nutrient agar and urine samples containing E. coli are spread evenly across the agar. Discs containing different antibiotics are placed on top of the agar. A lid is put on the Petri dish and the plate is incubated overnight. Fig. 2.1 shows an example of a Petri dish from the study after incubation. [Figure 2.1] Key 1 = cephalosporin 2 = trimethoprim 3 = co-amoxiclav 4 = ampicillin 5 = quinolone
- (a)(i)Suggest two variables that need to be standardised when using the disc diffusion method in this study.[2]
- (a)(ii)Describe how you would determine the sensitivity of E. coli to each antibiotic.[2]
- (b)(i)Table 2.1 shows the results of this investigation. [Table 2.1] Comment on the standard deviations for antibiotic use as shown in Table 2.1.[2]
- (b)(ii)Suggest two reasons why the number of prescriptions issued for antibiotics may not give an accurate measure of antibiotic use by patients.[2]
- (c)(i)The number of prescriptions issued for antibiotics varied considerably between clinics. The researchers wanted to find out whether there was a correlation between the number of prescriptions for each of the five antibiotics issued by a clinic and the percentage of urine samples containing resistant E. coli. Spearman's rank correlation test was used for this analysis. The results of this analysis are shown in Table 2.2. [Table 2.2] Table 2.3 shows the critical values for r_s at five levels of significance for the data collected in this study. [Table 2.3] Suggest why the Spearman's rank correlation test was used in this study.[1]
- (c)(ii)State a null hypothesis for the Spearman's rank correlation test for this study.[1]
- (c)(iii)Using Table 2.2 and Table 2.3, identify which antibiotics showed a statistically significant correlation between the number of prescriptions and the presence of resistant strains of E. coli in urine samples. Give a reason for your answer. antibiotics reason[2]
- (d)The percentage of patients with ampicillin-resistant E. coli infections varies with age and gender, as shown in Fig. 2.2. [Figure 2.2] Describe and explain the trends shown by these data.[3]
This question uses a diagram from the original paper, which isn't shown here. Open the full paper from the past papers archive to see it.
Mark scheme
Marking points from the official mark scheme (Oct/Nov 2018). The mark or mark type is shown in brackets.
- [2] any two from 1 volume of urine ; 2 volume/concentration / composition / pH, of agar ; 3 concentration / volume, of antibiotics; 4 (incubation) temperature; 5 incubation time; 6 size/diameter / area / spacing / type / source, of discs ;
- [2] 1 measure the, diameter / radius / area, of clear zone around the antibiotic disc (with a ruler / callipers / grid); 2 idea of the, larger / wider / bigger / AW,the clear zone is, the, more sensitive / less resistant, the bacteria are to the given antibiotic / ora or idea of no clear zone means bacteria are, resistant to / not affected by / not killed by / not sensitive to, (given) antibiotic ;
- [2] any two from 1 idea that it shows a large, spread of data (around the mean) / difference in data / deviation from the mean / variation with the mean; 2 data is not (very) reliable / trustworthy / consistent / AW ; 3 standard deviation increases as mean increases / positive correlation between standard deviation and mean;
- [2] any two from idea that 1 patients may not take the antibiotics prescribed ; 2 patients may not complete the course of antibiotics; 3 dose (per prescription) may differ; 4 antibiotics are also prescribed by dentists / hospitals / other practitioners ; 5 patients may buy antibiotics (without a prescription); 6 data only taken from large clinics; ora 7 patients may be prescribed, antibiotics other than those stated in table / more than one antibiotic;
- [1] any one from 1 data, may be / is, non-linear / skewed; 2 data, not/may not be, normally distributed ; 3 data is ordinal / discontinuous / not continuous / discrete; 4 scatter, graph / diagram, shows / may show, that there is a relationship; 5 data samples are independent; 6 ref. to random selection ;
- [1] there is no (significant) correlation between antibiotic use / (number of) prescriptions and, the percentage of urine samples containing resistant E. coli/ the presence of resistant strains of E. coli in the urine (of patients);
- [2] 1 two from ampicillin, trimethoprim, quinolone ; 2 calculated value / r_s, is higher than the, critical / table value (of r_s at, p = 0.05/0.362) or critical value is, at p = 0.05 / 5% significance /0.362;
- [3] description max 2 1 is higher in males than females (of the same age / at all ages) ; ora 2 is initially high in, (very) young / 3-year olds / up to 15 ; 3 decreases (steeply), in young / up to (around) 20 ; 4 resistance, more or less plateaus / fluctuates / changes little / goes up and down, between ages 20/30 and 60/80 ; 5 increases steeply from (around) 80 or increases from around, 60–80 / old age; 6 is highest at 100 years (in both); explanation (must be linked to antibiotic use) max 2 7 antibiotic / ampicillin, use is higher in the, young / old; ora 8 idea of people between 20 and 60/80 are prescribed, different antibiotics / antibiotics other than ampicillin ; 9 males, may be less likely to complete the full course of antibiotics / may take more antibiotics; ora 10 idea of young / old, have greater contact with, hospital / health care centres, and therefore greater exposure to, ampicillin / antibiotic-resistant E. coli ;
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